Out of his 10 professional wins, six have come on the European Tour on links-style courses. Hes played well in majors before with a runner-up at the 2019 Open, runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open, and fourth place at the 2017 U.S. Open. Hatton ranks ninth in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green" and 20th in "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee." Yeah, its our little oasis at home, and we love it. He is a seasoned veteran who has four top-five finishes in majors, including the playoff loss to Zach Johnson at the 2015 Open at The Old Course. For whatever reason, hes embraced Perry Maxwell designs during his career. The PGA Championship offers an extremely difficult task at the Ocean Course on Kiawah Island but these sleepers and dark horses could pop and win a major. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. There are a lot of ways to play your golf gambling dollar. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Max Homa +8000 ( DraftKings) Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. I worry this course might be a little too long for him, but he's too good to leave off the card. Spieths finishes since the Masters feature a win and a solo second, so his game is shaping up. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. He's also shown that he can play with the big boys and has three other top-25 finishes in 2021, including finishing 18th at The Masters. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. Our staff also likes a few more to-win bets and sleeper picks. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. Day has flashed signs of his younger self throughout this season. Defending champion Phil Mickelson isnt playing this week. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Fifty-four holes, no cut, that's an easy life" -- Padraig Harrington. Collin Morikawa, Jason Day and Justin Thomas were either rising or established stars by the times of their. ), PGA Tour golfers aren't the only ones who can make some starting next Thursday. Noren is not the Oklahoma State player that everyone would expect to win this week, but his game fits this course well and he excels in the wind. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Some sleepers heading into the 2022 PGA at Southern Hills, Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. Viktor Hovland ($9,900) - Viktor Hovland had a strong start to the new season. Some of the games biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins to their resumes over the last few months and are ready for battle. Yeah, youll get a lot of the favorites because those are name bets of course, folks are going to pick the Rorys and the Tigers because thats whom they know. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Dahmen captured his first PGA Tour win at the 2021 Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship in March, and he finished T10 in last year's PGA Championship. Yes, Scottie Scheffler is on a heater, is No. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Over the last 24 rounds, Hatton ranks third in the field in strokes gained short-game. He made the most birdies (22) of any player at Augusta National, and as late at the 11th hole on Masters Sunday, the Aussie was in position to give Scheffler a run for the green jacket. Who will win the PGA Championship in 2022? In my case for Max Homa, I argued that while there are differences between weekly PGA Tournaments and majors, good golf will find a way to translate. No more. He also has two Tour victories (Puerto Rico Open & Mayakoba Classic) on paspalum. His putting remains a concern, but thats also why hes 33-1. Four top fives this season, two of which have come in his past two starts. Hovland Is still one of the best ball strikers on tour. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. Our panel of gambling experts,. As an added bonus, the Swede played his college golf an hour west in Stillwater for Oklahoma State University, so he should be more than comfortable in this region of the country. Hes long enough, accurate enough and consistent enough. Suh has exceeded salary-based expectations in nine straight events dating back to last fall's edition of The CJ Cup, where he finished T29 in a very strong field. Noren thrives on and around the greens, but his ball-striking numbers are finally starting to follow suit. 2022 PGA Championship Bettors' Roundtable: Favorites, Sleepers and Best Bets for Southern Hills Who looks ready to raise the Wanamaker? To-win: Will Zalatoris, +3,300. Furthermore, hes been a consistent gainer with his around-the-green play, even if hes not elite in that area. His statistical profile is awfully similar to that of Bradley, and most forget he shared the 54-hole lead with Louis Oosthuizen and Mackenzie Hughes in last year's U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. 38 in the Official World Golf Rankings. In this section, I'm looking for guys that have 25-1 or longer odds. To-win: Cameron Smith, +2,000. FOLLOW US ON His only top-15 this season that I just mentioned a moment ago? Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. Who will disappoint? Thats enough for me! 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. PGA Championship picks, best odds, sleepers to win 2021 tournament Vikas Chokshi, BetQL.com 6 min read It's Major week, and the highly anticipated PGA Championship is finally here! Hes finished runner-up two other times this season as well (Sanderson Farms, Genesis). Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple . Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images. Sleeper pick: Marc Leishman, +10,000. He completes the grand slam. MORE: Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022. The combination of course familiarity and recent play would make Scott a potent threat if his putter gets extra hot this week. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. These five players jump out as possible dark-horse candidates to make waves in Tulsa this weekend. The model was also all over Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Sign up for an account to take action today.) This year's venue, Southern Hills Country Club, will play no favorites -- and neither will we as we outline potential candidates to follow in the footsteps of Yang and company. Finding a mix of top-tier golfers and low-priced sleepers is the key to daily fantasy golf. Moneyline (ML): SE Missouri State -135 (bet $135 to win $110) | Tennessee Tech +105 (bet $100 to win $105) Against the spread: SE Missouri State -2.5 (+100) | Tennessee Tech +2.5 (-120) This weekend is shaping up to be a legendary moment in the history of golf, as 156 of the best golfers in the world compete at the legendary Old Course at St Andrew's. The big concern would be driving accuracy as that could get him in trouble. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Harry Higgs has not had anywhere close to the success that Max Homa has found on TOUR, especially this year. Taking sleeper picks is. Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. He also ranks ninth in "Driving Distance" and in the top 30 of several other key metrics. Sleeper pick: Davis Riley, +25,000: Riley is striping it as well as anyone in professional golf right now. His victory at the Wells Fargo was his second of the season, as he took home the hardware at the season opener, the Fortinet Championship. Sure, this season has been all about Scottie Scheffler, but these odds are too good to pass up for a player experiencing a similar meteoric rise this season. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, 1 parlay we love and picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) Lee is an excellent golfer, make no mistake, but he hasn't quite looked ready to win a PGA TOUR event prior to the weekend. Yang is in the field. You might also remember that he was in contention in the U.S. Open last year at Torrey Pines. PGA: Thursday tee times | Best bets | ESPN+ streaming. And this is no knock against him. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Speaking of good ball-strikers and sketchy putters: Keegan Bradley! He wants the throne back, and a win at Southern Hills, Scotties favorite course, will remind everyone that Rahm is still golfs best player. His solid short game will help around Southern Hills, and if the flat stick gets hot he can keep up with anyone. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. And yet over at oddschecker.com, a site that tracks both odds and which players are the most popular with gamblers, Champ is tied for the third-most popular bet. He won the PGA Championship in 2017 and tied for sixth in the event in 2018. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. He's long, he's straight, and he's an absolute menace from tee to green. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. It's the city in which two best moments in golf have come - namely, winning the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson and then successfully defending his crown just this past week. You can show your support for Rob by using the discount code GILTwhen purchasing aPGA Premium Pass. Is it a stretch? You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Hes finished T23 or better in each of his last four starts, including Top 5 finishes at the Zurich Classic (the team event) and the RBC Heritage. TIL Y.E. He finished in a tie for third the following year but has not factored in a major since. Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. The career grand slam has never culminated at the PGA Championship, and I think if anyone can make history at Southern Hills, itll be Spieth assuming he putts well. Either way, buckle up, because water and wind should make for plenty of drama come Sunday. With an emphasis on ball-striking approach play in particular along with the ability to play well around the green, lets take a look at five sleepers who could make noise at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa this week. Early Redraft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football) James Cook (RB - BUF) The rookie running back, known for his pass-catching, produced some hype last offseason after landing in an . Only two of that crop are being offered at odds lower than +10000 at most sportsbooks. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, 7 interesting gear finds inside Tommy Fleetwoods golf bag | Bag Spy, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. In 10 career starts at majors, Homa has yet to finish in the top 10. Obviously, a lot has. Maybe. As we make our way further down the board to find a mega-longshot, lets throw that idea directly out the window. At these odds, I had to throw some money down on him. Sign up for an account to get into the action today. Hes finished in the top 20 in four out of his past five starts and is fifthin "Strokes Gained: Total" over his past 24 rounds. The SportsLine model is engineered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. Jordan Spieth 9.. Both check all of the boxes that we are looking for on the Southern Hills Country Club course. He was originally co-favored to win the event along withScottie Scheffler (+1200)andJustin Thomas (+1200), but Rahm has emerged as the favorite this year. Sign up for our free newsletter for fresh takes every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday*, A gay golf fan on JT's captivating play at the PGA Championship, Three notes from the ground at Southern Hills, Some major players and major problems that showed up in round 1 of the PGA, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing, A video with Gil Hanse on what the pros will confront at Southern Hills, The Restoration: Southern Hills and the future of championship golf, A PGA Primer on the traits and challenges of Southern Hills, Paulies Picks: Attributes and players to consider for the PGA, What to Know About Perry Maxwell: The life, work, and philosophy of the architect behind Southern Hills, Oklahoma and Maxwell-themed T-shirts for the 2022 PGA. This is likely the case, but how much we should weight that metric is up for debate. Shop around because I was still seeing some +2000's out there. Southern Hills is arather long course. Meanwhile,Tiger Woods (+6500)ranks lower than usual among the field as he looks to return to form in his second event back from a 2021 car crash that left him with severe injuries. Its so hard to get close to the pins because the greens are not large, and theyre compartmentalized, Myers told Golf Digest. He has made the cut in each of his last eight starts including a 12th place finish last week in which he gained strokes in all four major categories (his 4th top 12 in 2022). So, good putters should fare well on this course. In his 10 starts since the Ryder Cup, Cantlay has a win and six top-10s. Hes relaxed: Champ rehabbed on a farm, and Ill let him explain the vibe, which he also shared at the Mexico Open. The PGA Championship has awarded the Wanamaker Trophy to many. Touts are lame. MORE: How a fantasy football punishment led to a 112 score at a U.S. Open qualifier. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! Critics say new PGA Tour events copy LIV. Hes not playing like a sleeper with a T2 and T3 in his past two starts and on two very different golf courses (TPC Potomac and Harbour Town). Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? Hes also been a fairly reliable player in the majors, missing just one cut in five career starts. There are a few solid, mid-tier values on this week's card. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. He has had hot putting streaks before too, so perhaps he can find his stroke at the right time in Tulsa. Speaking of high numbers! After missing the weekend at the Honda, he went on a run of five straight T-22 or better finishes in stroke-play events (including at T-14 at Augusta). Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. After slotting at No. He will win a major, and likely soon. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. Tiger Woods is making his second-straight major start after his triumphant return last month at Augusta National. His play outperforms his salary and current projected ownership. Among the deluge of Camerons on the PGA TOUR, 25-year-old American Cameron Young deserves some shine. Were about to have a little bit more. hot putters. More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks. All Rights Reserved. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Bergers not long by Tour standards, but he is accurate, and hes a killer around the greens, which will be essential at the new-look Southern Hills with its slick, difficult-to-hit surfaces. In fact, hes yet to finish in the top 20 with a career best of T40 at the 2021 Open Championship. While he has struggled on the PGA Tour, he displayed good form finishing in 14th-place at The Masters in April. Why not now? Scott ranks fifth in the world in Strokes Gained: Putting over the last year. Betting him as a top-10 finisher at +650 oddscould also be a profitable strategy. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. You can go out and hit 18 greens and two-putt each one and shoot 70 and be disappointed because you feel like you shouldve shot 64.. Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. Being a big hitter will help on this course, but having a great approach game will be the key to winning the Wanamaker trophy. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? The other is Adam Scott, who finished T12 here in 2007 and continues to play great golf. But theres something about Southern Hills that I think will suit the Aussie to snap that streak. And that same group is sharing its 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. Bradley remains the last player to win in his major championship debut as he proved victorious in a playoff at the Atlantic Athletic Club over Jason Dufner 11 years ago. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. Part IV of @GOLF_com's golf gambling series! (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images). 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With Jon Rahm, the world No. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. The Horse 5. But recently, it seems he has turned the corner, especially when it comes to his mental game. 2nd Chance Bet up to $500. 21+ only. He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. Don't have an account? PGA Splits 101(great Twitter follow) used true "Strokes Gained" data from Data Golf, adjusted for field strength, and saw that Morikawa is the best ball-striker at the PGA Championship over the past 20 rounds. He ranks top 40 in this field in approach, around the green, putting, sand saves, bogey avoidance and three-putt avoidance. His T14 at Augusta was his best major finish to date. PGA Championship sleeper picks If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring, Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000) each have the potential to outperform expectations. To-win: Sam Burns, +4,000. Shane Lowry (+2800)is fresh off a top-three finish at the 2022 Masters and looks poised to do well on this course. When: March 2 to 5, 2023. That changes this week with the arrival of the seasons second major championship: the 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills Country Club. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. We have made one of each using odds from BetMGM to assist you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, or (legal!) The Big Rig has not been playing stellar golf lately, missing every cut since the Masters, but hes shown an ability to grind out scores on difficult courses. Potential shortstop sleepers. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook. Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. Sleeper pick: Cameron Young, +8,000. After a T13 at THE PLAYERS this year, his best finish in that event, he seems poised to make the next logical leap. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022! The result marks Kirk's . Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. . And names like Justin Thomas, Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth and many others always look attractive.